Winner of the 2012 Presidential Election: Data
I especially love his Nov. 10 post in which Silver analyzes the various polls and shows which ones fared the best and which ones weren't worth the paper they were printed on. It's shocking to see that the Gallup Poll—in many people's mind the oldest and most trusted name in polling—was skewed Republican by a whopping 7.2 points when averaged across all 11 of their polls. Ouch. For an organization that specializes in polling, their long-term viability must be called into question at this point.
One thing I find highly interesting when looking at the various poll results is that when you examine their methodologies, it's not too surprising that Gallup fell flat on its face, relying on live phone surveys as the primary polling method. When considering that many young, urban and minority voters don't have a landline and only have a cellphone, it doesn't take a rocket scientist to conclude any poll that doesn't include a large number of cellphones in its cohort is going to skew wildly Republican ... which is exactly what happened to Gallup, Rasmussen and several other prominent national polls.
Turning to the Obama campaign's incredible Get Out The Vote (GOTV) machine that turned out more people in more places than anyone could have ever predicted, there's no doubt in anyone's mind that for data-driven marketers, the 2012 U.S. election victory was a watershed moment in history.
According to a recent article in Time titled "Inside the Secret World of the Data Crunchers Who Helped Obama Win," the secret sauce behind Obama's big win was a massive data effort that helped him raise $1 billion, remade the process of targeting TV ads, and created detailed models of swing-state voters that could be used to increase the effectiveness of everything from phone calls and door-knocks to direct mailings and social media.
Who’s Your Data? is a blog that aims to disseminate thought-provoking tips and techniques involving the use of data and database marketing to direct marketing professionals. Why should you care? Because implementing data best practices has been shown to lift response rates, improve analytics and enhance overall customer experience. Reader participation is encouraged!
Rio Longacre is a Sales & Marketing Professional with more than 10 years of experience in the direct marketing trenches. He has worked closely with businesses across many different vertical markets, helping them effectively leverage the use of data, personalization technologies and tracking platforms. Longacre is currently employed as a Managing Consultant, Marketing, Sales & Service Consulting at Capgemini Consulting, a premier management consulting firm. He is based in the company's New York City office, which is located in Midtown Manhattan. He has also previously worked as an online media buyer and digital marketing strategist.
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