Bernhart Associates’ Jerry Bernhart on the Direct Marketing Job Market
With the pendulum beginning to shift from a candidate-driven job market to an employer-driven market, those companies not locked in a hiring freeze are carefully selecting from the brimming talent pool, according to Jerry Bernhart, president of Owatonna, Minn.-based Bernhart Associates Executive Search. The firm’s January 7, 2008 employment survey, a random survey of 79 companies, predicts more hiring freezes and increased layoffs this quarter. According to the report, 58 percent of companies surveyed said they plan to add to staff during the first quarter of 2008, down 2 percent from the previous survey (conducted last October).
Not only are companies increasing layoffs and putting a hold on hiring, 12 percent also indicated they plan to reduce payroll, up from 9 percent last quarter. “All of our hiring indicators are turning more negative,” says Bernhart. “This weakness comes as no surprise, given the recent news of layoffs and the current overall economic climate.”
Here, he details the story behind the hiring freeze and highlights tips on how to take advantage of the job market shift.
Target Marketing: What are the top factors contributing to the direct marketing job market slump?
Jerry Bernhart Overall economic weakness. There are a lot of factors working against direct marketers: last year’s postal increase, the housing slump, the sub-prime mess, high gas prices [and] the plunging stock market. All of this impacts business, and that, in turn, impacts hiring. Venture capitalists are seeing fewer deals that make financial sense right now.
TM: What is causing the hiring freeze, and can you project what needs to happen for employers to lift the ban?
JB: As business conditions have deteriorated, hiring freezes are being imposed to hold the line on labor costs. Employers are feeling uncertain about the future. In our survey, we not only ask if a company has imposed a hiring freeze, we also ask when it expects to lift it. Most said they were unsure when they would lift it. That is, they couldn’t give us a definite end-date. That is very indicative of the uncertainty that is out there right now.