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Author, direct marketing guru, and always entertaining Denny Hatch focuses on a major story in the news and shows how businesses can take advantage of–or avoid the pitfalls from–the lessons to be learned in terms of marketing, sales, PR and communications.
Oct 7, 2008 : Vol. 4, Issue No. 55

Turning a Business Model Upside Down - 1

How I fired 200,000 customers and saved a book club
A   A   A   A
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IN THE NEWS
How Much Time Should CEOs Devote to Customers?
Customers are the source of all cash flow. Organic growth depends on developing relationships with new and existing customers. And future growth prospects are baked into stock market valuations of companies. Yet an increasingly high percentage of Fortune 500 CEOs have not come up the ranks through marketing or sales. At the same time, in many companies, the chief marketing officer position turns over every two years. Facing the current economic downturn, companies need marketing skills more than ever. But while every corporate mission statement pays lip service to respecting customer needs, actual customer expertise is typically a mile wide and an inch deep.

—John A. Quelch, professor of business administration, Harvard Business School, Oct. 1, 2008

Changing the Business Model
We separated 200,000 non-buying sweeps members from the 150,000 good and loyal customers that made up our bread and butter. It turned out that the percentage of the 150,000 buying customers that took the main selection was more like 50% than the 70% that was forecast. In other words, instead of printing 265,000 copies of a main selection, the actual number of books sold—50% of 150,000 members—was more like 75,000.

Understand, if you can send a mailing and get a 50% response, it's hugely profitable—but not when you're spending $1.5 million a year circularizing 200,000 people who don't buy anything and overprinting 2.8 million books that don't sell.

I wrote a long, thoughtful memo to Meredith management explaining the lose-lose arithmetic of the current business model and telling them what I planned to do:

1. Write the 200,000 nonbuying members a warm, fuzzy and highly flattering letter to be included with the next mailing cycle. It would say that we loved having them as members, but since they had not bought anything in a year, this was going to be the last offer they received unless they placed an order. Virtually all of the 200,000 nonbuying members went bye-bye.

2. Cut the print orders for main selection from 265,000 to 75,000. Alternate selection print orders were commensurately cut.

3. Put the 200,000 sweeps-sold names on the list market as sweeps responders (as opposed to active book club buyers) so we could get a little bit of our money back.

4. Test a series of acquisition mailings and space ads that featured yummy premiums rather than sweepstakes. This would acquire readers as new members, rather than the freebie scavengers at the bottom of the mail order food chain.

5. Include in the monthly mailings a series of tacky flyers on newsprint announcing a huge warehouse sale with books starting at $1—cash only.

6. Call Nat Wartels of Crown Publishers, who was a major buyer of remainder titles for sale in his various outlets, and offer him titles at pennies on the dollar.

Next Week: More changes in the business model and the uproar that rippled through meredith.

Takeaway Points to Consider

* A great deal of palaver comes out of business schools and think tanks about the need of the CEO to spend time with customers and respond to customers' needs.

* Customers don't have needs; they have wants. And marketing people are in the business of creating wants, not serving needs.

* Responders to sweepstakes offers don't have needs. They want to win prizes.

* For a marketer, sweepstakes promotions are like heroin. You get a rush, but don't expect to get additional sales without sweetening the offer with another sweepstakes.

* It's imperative to continually analyze your business model and—if profits are going south—tweak it, change it and do whatever necessary to right the ship.

* In recent years we've seen the savings and loan disaster, the Internet bust, the subprime disaster, and the crash and burn of Wall Street. As a result of these catastrophes, trillions of dollars went down the sewer and millions of jobs were lost. The basic reason: Top management—and the sycophantic financial media—don't understand how business works at the grassroots level.

* The manager of a division that is purposely losing money "for the good of the corporation" is in a dead-end job and should get out ASAP. The future of everyone involved is at risk.

Web Sites Related to Today's Edition

"How Much Time Should CEOs Devote to Customers?" —Harvard Business School
http://hbswk.hbs.edu/item/6037.html

Sweepstakes Advantage: The Largest Directory of Free Online Sweepstakes, Freebies & Contests
http://www.sweepsadvantage.com/
 
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Very interesting article, Denny.
I think we should not overlook the fact that this was 1969 and we are looking at the story with the benefit of 40 years further experience, so your insight was commendable. Being old enough to remember that time, the execs of Meredith clinging to the perceived wisdom was not extraordinary. They just couldn't think outside the square whereas you did Denny. I wonder if they thanked you for it? My guess would be that your achievement was greeted with faint praise. Perhaps we will find out in the next installment.
John Walters
10/07/2008 at 8:44 PM
Interesting, Denny. And I can imagine the static when a "15k a year employee who can't keep a job" tells corporate he's going to change their business model. It didn't work for Enron, nor for so many clueless corporations who are no longer with us. But your problems were at least manageable. Ah, the good ole days!
Dev. Kinney
10/07/2008 at 5:23 PM
Your time at Meredith in the 60s sounds a little like "Mad Men" -- your story line is more realistic (and interesting), but full of that excess and meshugas that makes me wish I had been there... but only if I got to be Jon Hamm.
Betsey Hartford
10/07/2008 at 11:52 AM
The title of this article is inaccurate. The 200,000 'customers' were not customers at all. They were not buying anything, so they were 'potential customers' at best. But mainly it was just a list of new names that could have been purchased anywhere.
Brent
10/07/2008 at 11:31 AM
Everytime I listen to the news lately, and some "expert" being consulted on "how this happened," I flash back to the movie Wall Street and see Michael Douglas' character saying, "Greed is good...Greed works." I heard Michael Douglas say in an interview that many people fawned over him in that portrayal, idealizing his character. Unless we change our hero models, this will happen again and again. Your sweepstakes example is just one more measure of this greed mindset, leaving the mess for others to clean up.
bilou
10/07/2008 at 11:01 AM

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