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A Eureka Moment: What to Do Next

The Art and Science of the Dry Test

Vol. 7, Issue No. 3 | February 8, 2011 By Denny Hatch
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IN THE NEWS

Milton M. Levine, 97, Inventor of Ant Farm, Dies
Milton Levine's Eureka moment came in 1956, when he spotted a mound of ants during a Fourth of July picnic at his sister's poolside in Southern California.

Recalling how as a boy he had collected ants in jars at his uncle's farm in Pennsylvania, he told his brother-in-law and business partner, E. J. Cossman, “We should make an antarium.”

The resulting product—Uncle Milton's Ant Farm—has been a staple in children's bedrooms ever since. It offers a bucolic panorama of a farmhouse beside a winding path to a barn and windmill above a warren of ant tunnels, all encased in plastic. More than 20 million have been sold.
—Dennis Hevesi
The New York Times, Jan. 29, 2011

When I came across the obituary of Milton Levine, it struck a chord deep within me.

Here was a 43-year-old salesman of toys and novelties watching some ants at a July 4, 1956 picnic when he suddenly saw his future—the ant farm—a 6” x 9” two-sided plastic frame with sand, tunnels and live ants busily doing their thing as mesmerized kids watch and learn.

A half-century later, kids are still enthralled with ant farms. The basic model sells for $10.99.

Last year, Levine sold his business for $20 million. His website, UncleMilton.com has a slew of wonderful scientific gadgets for kids.

Milton Levine—described by one magazine writer as “anty-establishment”―gave pleasure (and inspiration) to millions of kids, made pots of money, obviously had great fun and went to the great beyond at 97.

Life doesn’t get any better than that!

So what does a fledgling entrepreneur do following a “eureka moment?”

How do you translate an idea into a profitable business?

My suggestion: go the dry test route.

I spent 15 years creating dry tests for clients and my own little business—the WHO’S MAILING WHAT! newsletter and archive service—started out life as a dry test.

Technically the dry test is illegal, but many years ago I discovered a possible loophole.

Start-ups
A number of famous businesses were launched with one product and small test ads in magazines and newspapers that were read by likely prospects:

• In 1951, Lillian Katz took $2,000 of wedding gift money and placed a small ad in Seventeen magazine for $495 offering a purse and belt with free monogramming. Her investment in ad space generated 6,450 orders and $32,000 in sales. The Lillian Vernon catalog was born.

• In 1977, Richard Thalheimer, then a young office supplies salesman and occasional lawyer, used to jog in San Francisco and keep track of his progress on a wristwatch that had been specially designed for runners. All who jog should have this item, Thalheimer reasoned. So he cut a deal with the manufacturer and had designer Steve Sugar craft an ad offering the watch for $69 in Runner’s World under the corporate moniker The Sharper Image. The ad generated $300,000 the first year, and the rest is history.

Takeaways to Consider

  • Creating a new product or service is exciting and fun. Marketing is a tough, long and exacting slog.
  • Just because you are a whiz-bang entrepreneur doesn’t necessarily mean you are a marketer. My suggestion: hire a professional.
  • "If you think it's expensive to hire a professional to do the job, wait until you hire an amateur." —Red Adair (1915-2004), Oil well firefighter
  • "The most important word in the vocabulary of advertising is test. If you pretest your product with consumers, and pretest your advertising, you will do well in the marketplace." —David Ogilvy
  • When going after investment capital to launch a new product or service, it’s helpful if you have some evidence that a market exists—harder data than the results of a survey or focus groups.
  • Beware of venture capitalists. During the years I was working for fledgling magazine publishers, the VCs would generally pony up enough money for one or more dry tests.
  • However, if the tests brought in a response that was within a predetermined budget, the VCs would frequently put up just enough money to get the first issue out. The nascent publisher was generally thrilled.
  • With a magazine launch, full funding for at least three years is essential. For example, it took Sports Illustrated 10 years to become profitable after Henry Luce founded it in 1954. Many of the magazines that Paul Goldberg and I helped launch, were just on the cusp of viability when the VCs called in their markers, fired the founders and sold the properties to big publishers for a fat profit—sending many talented, committed people on the cusp of success into the street, their dreams shattered.
  • A VC is not interested in an entrepreneur coming back, hat in hand, asking for additional money, because of unforeseen problems.
  • In war and business, the thing to avoid at all costs is surprises.

 
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COMMENTS

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Most Recent Comments:
Wash Phillips - Posted on February 08, 2011
Denny,
This latest column is an inspiration to the imaginative and ethical. And this touch Doscher has on the marketplace--well, I'm sincerely impressed. Thanks again.
Jim Murphy - Posted on February 08, 2011
Denny. Really interesting piece. I love the legal line of copy. I may have to try using that some day.

Thanks for sharing it.

Jim Murphy
Scott - Posted on February 08, 2011
It's interesting . . . that one line of copy is the essence of every Groupon offer. It's even brought to life graphically by a little online meter showing how close the deal is to being a "go." It's fascinating and worthwhile to consider the psychological factors that make it successful. Good article, Denny. Thanks.
Mary Lou Probka - Posted on February 08, 2011
Thank you for a fascinating article, Denny. You must come back to the Newsletters Publishers conferences again (now SIPA).
You always make us think, and give great copy ideas. All the best to you.
David Williams - Posted on February 08, 2011
Thank you for an excellent suggestion for testing new concepts. I have read your articles in print for a number of years and have been enjoying receiving the electronically. You have a unique and direct approach.
Donnie Bryant - Posted on February 08, 2011
Fantastic article, Denny.

I'll be using this idea in the near future.
Valerie Lambert - Posted on February 08, 2011
I can understand "Hurry - supply limited" or some other teaser boosting sales, but "This offer is contingent on receiving a sufficient number of orders."??? That blows my mind!

They probably COULD have used the "This product does not exist" lingo that was originally proposed! HA! It reminds me of the old Doris Day - Rock Hudson - Tony Randall movie, "Lover Come Back," where they sold "VIP," a product that DIDN'T exist...and people everywhere were CLAMORING for it!

-- Valerie Lambert
Bilou Enterprises
Robet Doscher - Posted on February 08, 2011
Denny:

Thanks for the mention. The most important new development in the new product research system is that it is now an Internet system. We can complete a survey identifying the best products and ultimately predicting success, or failure, in 36 hours. There's a complete research department of surveys available and the new product concept system is 95%+ statistically reliable. Thanks again.
Mat Weller - Posted on February 08, 2011
As someone who has a multimillion dollar idea every month (if not more often) but who doesn't know how to proceed on most of them, I appreciate this article a lot. I may or may not use this method directly, but it gives me some thoughts on angles I may want to pursue. As always, thanks Denny.
Bill Ruppert - Posted on February 08, 2011
I loved my ant farm. Thanks Uncle Milton. "This offer is contingent on receiving a sufficient number of orders" reminds me of the Groupon deals which have to reach a minimum number of orders to take effect.
Joan Bodenheimer - Posted on February 08, 2011
The name - Uncle Milton's Ant Farm ... a farm...not a colony and not a field. I love the name of the product and who could argue with anyone named Uncle Mliton? Of course I had one as a child. It was an important part of growing up. That and a slinky.
Click here to view archived comments...
Archived Comments:
Wash Phillips - Posted on February 08, 2011
Denny,
This latest column is an inspiration to the imaginative and ethical. And this touch Doscher has on the marketplace--well, I'm sincerely impressed. Thanks again.
Jim Murphy - Posted on February 08, 2011
Denny. Really interesting piece. I love the legal line of copy. I may have to try using that some day.

Thanks for sharing it.

Jim Murphy
Scott - Posted on February 08, 2011
It's interesting . . . that one line of copy is the essence of every Groupon offer. It's even brought to life graphically by a little online meter showing how close the deal is to being a "go." It's fascinating and worthwhile to consider the psychological factors that make it successful. Good article, Denny. Thanks.
Mary Lou Probka - Posted on February 08, 2011
Thank you for a fascinating article, Denny. You must come back to the Newsletters Publishers conferences again (now SIPA).
You always make us think, and give great copy ideas. All the best to you.
David Williams - Posted on February 08, 2011
Thank you for an excellent suggestion for testing new concepts. I have read your articles in print for a number of years and have been enjoying receiving the electronically. You have a unique and direct approach.
Donnie Bryant - Posted on February 08, 2011
Fantastic article, Denny.

I'll be using this idea in the near future.
Valerie Lambert - Posted on February 08, 2011
I can understand "Hurry - supply limited" or some other teaser boosting sales, but "This offer is contingent on receiving a sufficient number of orders."??? That blows my mind!

They probably COULD have used the "This product does not exist" lingo that was originally proposed! HA! It reminds me of the old Doris Day - Rock Hudson - Tony Randall movie, "Lover Come Back," where they sold "VIP," a product that DIDN'T exist...and people everywhere were CLAMORING for it!

-- Valerie Lambert
Bilou Enterprises
Robet Doscher - Posted on February 08, 2011
Denny:

Thanks for the mention. The most important new development in the new product research system is that it is now an Internet system. We can complete a survey identifying the best products and ultimately predicting success, or failure, in 36 hours. There's a complete research department of surveys available and the new product concept system is 95%+ statistically reliable. Thanks again.
Mat Weller - Posted on February 08, 2011
As someone who has a multimillion dollar idea every month (if not more often) but who doesn't know how to proceed on most of them, I appreciate this article a lot. I may or may not use this method directly, but it gives me some thoughts on angles I may want to pursue. As always, thanks Denny.
Bill Ruppert - Posted on February 08, 2011
I loved my ant farm. Thanks Uncle Milton. "This offer is contingent on receiving a sufficient number of orders" reminds me of the Groupon deals which have to reach a minimum number of orders to take effect.
Joan Bodenheimer - Posted on February 08, 2011
The name - Uncle Milton's Ant Farm ... a farm...not a colony and not a field. I love the name of the product and who could argue with anyone named Uncle Mliton? Of course I had one as a child. It was an important part of growing up. That and a slinky.